June 2, 2011
NHS needs reform

Without reform the NHS will become fatally unsustainable, dragging the economy down with it.


I thought I would kick start my blogging with a quick piece on the NHS reforms. I apologise for the gap but I had my exams for my MSc.

The NHS reforms are crucial. Anyone who says that the NHS is sustainable on its current path is deluded. What shocks me most is that this seems to be Lab position. Even under the Gov’s spending protection of the NHS, by 2015 the NHS will need to find savings of £20bn. Seeing as both Lab and the Lib Dems refused to ring fence NHS spending we can only presume the savings that would be needed would be much greater under Lab.

This begs the question what reforms did Lab have planned to save the NHS? We can only guess as Lab has not sought to provide any alternative plans, just objection to everything.

The problem of NHS spending is critical for the entire focus of future governments and economic prospects. Without dealing with it now, NHS spending could be above £200bn by 2020. This is staggering and immensely worrying. Surely the only way to meet this increase in spending would be to add further taxes on an already heavily taxed nation or to increase spending cuts in other departments. If you’re on the Right then you would argue tax increases will only lead to a decrease in economic output and if you’re on the Left you’d argue that further cuts risks reducing economic growth. Looking at it from that perspective there should be no one on either side of the political spectrum that supports the continuation of the status quo.

Like any major piece of legislation the bill will evolve whilst it passes through Parliament. We can only hope that the legislation does not evolve too much so that it does not tackle the national crisis of NHS spending. It is in the public interest that the NHS is reformed and the PM should stick by Lansley.

March 31, 2011
The Alternative Vote – A matter of reform or Lib Dem self interest?

The great debate is happening across the country. The biggest reform to our electoral system for decades is being proposed to an eager electorate. This politically engaged polity are positively overwhelmed with excitement at the possibility to once again get involved in the political process, especially with the prospect of shaping the system itself. Does this sound familiar? No?! It doesn’t sound at all familiar to me either! The scene just described is what the politicians want us to believe is happening but even they seem to see the referendum as a distraction.

So why are we having such a referendum then? Well of course it comes back to that legendary Coalition Agreement, when the Conservatives made their full and comprehensive offer. This of course was accepted by the Lib Dems and now we have the main event fast approaching in May.

With a national referendum, you would normally expect some sort of national debate but this just has not happened. I believe after extensive research, I have come to the reason why AV has not ignited the imagination of the electorate… No one cares! Outside of the Westminster bubble, people are just not engaged because it doesn’t even come close to getting on their list of priorities. With world crises becoming a near weekly occurrence and with the economy resembling an ugly and rather short teenager, i.e. suffering from a lack of confidence and growth, you can guarantee that electoral reform isn’t keeping people awake at night. The problem for people within the Westminster bubble is that this is an issue that they can get passionately involved in because it concerns the most important issue that an MP ever concerns himself/herself with… their jobs. This is the only aspect of the AV debate where MPs are in line with their constituents. The electorate want MPs to concentrate on how they can make sure their constituents don’t lose their jobs rather than discussing the electoral system. The MPs want to discuss the electoral system because it could directly affect their job security.

The fact that the Lid Dems were willing to allow one of their key promises to be thrown to the wolves in the case of tuition fees but demanded AV shows their true priorities. This is where the Lib Dems showed an astonishing level of self-interest. Unlike the Tories and Labour who promised at the election to follow the Browne review of the tuition fee system, the Lib Dems kept along their established party line of promising to scrap tuition fees. Now many have argued that the Lib Dem manifesto was never written with the intention of the Party having to actually keep to their promises when in government but I believe this is letting them off the hook too easily. The prospect of a hung parliament was obvious to any observer of British politics and the Lib Dems must have known that in the case of a hung parliament they would be the kingmakers. It is plausible to believe that if the Lib Dems had asked for tuition fees to be protected against large increases rather than calling for the AV referendum then the Tories would have agreed and you would not have the seen the large backlash against the Party. The fact that they didn’t try to do this shows that they put it in their manifesto to win student votes, with no intention of keeping their promise.

Now I realise I look like a student with a grudge by making this point but I’d like to say that I actually support increasing tuition fees as the burden should surely be more on the student rather than tax payers. What angers me is the Lib Dems not admitting that the fact that they placed their own interests ahead of the interests of a large group of their voters. This is not to say I don’t believe political parties shouldn’t be pragmatic when in government and that some pledges can’t realistically be implemented but the Lib Dems are still trying to claim the moral high ground, still trying to portray themselves as something more than just a political party. Only today (31/3/11) the Lib Dem deputy leader has claimed that scrapping tuition fees is still a key commitment for the Party (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-12923049). This is such ridiculous rhetoric is futile when the actions of the Lib Dems speak much louder.

The irony is that the Lib Dems have taken their place in government in exchange for a reform that Nick Clegg had originally described as a ‘miserable little compromise’. In fairness to Clegg this is a moment when I fully agree with him but why he agreed to this ‘miserable little compromise’ whilst allowing one of his main policies be torn to pieces completely astounds me. Either they were naïve to believe it wouldn’t backfire on them, in which case I wouldn’t want a party so naïve to be anywhere near power, or they made a decision to go with their own interests over that of the people who voted for them. This is fine by me but I never voted for them. I’ve got a feeling that those student voters who did, may struggle to vote for the Lib Dems again and whether it is under First-Past-The-Post system or under AV is utterly irrelevant.

March 3, 2011
"Philosophy is common sense with big words."

— James Madison (via roxygen)

March 3, 2011
War - What is it good for?

It seems it is good for overthrowing oppressive dictators.

This week the news has been dominated by the crisis happening in Libya. There is plenty I could write about this but I’m going to concentrate on the effect it has had on David Cameron.

Our Prime Minister has certainly made an impression on the international stage. Being the first Western leader to visit Egypt was certainly a coup (yes I dared to use that pun!). This was an example of the PM’s undoubted political skill and luck. This though begs the question who advised him during this tour of the Arab World? How can someone as politically gifted as the Cameron go on a tour of one of the most volatile regions in the world, with a group of arms dealers in tow? This looks quite distasteful at best, quite sinister at worst. Surely would it not have been better to have cancelled bringing the arms dealers with him? He could have gone on a tour of the region and got only good reviews back home. Our PM spreading the message of peace and freedom at the heart of the fire… instead it looks like he was profiteering.

This idea that Britain has placed profit at the heart of its foreign policy is certainly not unsubstantiated. In fact at the beginning of the Cameron Premiership he made great play about being the UK’s salesman, taking trade delegations to China and India. I am certainly not saying that this should not be part of our foreign policy. After all it has been apart of the policy for hundreds of years. What I would argue though is that surely foreign policy should be more idealistic. It has to be a reflection of our country’s belief and values.

This is where this opinion piece will get rather controversial and will no doubt lead to abuse because this is where I fully respected Tony Blair and George W. Bush. Would President Bush have reacted so feebly to the Libyan crisis as President Obama has? Would Tony Blair have suggested a ‘no fly zone’ over Libya without making sure he had the support of the White House beforehand? The answer to both of these would be no. As the Times editorial argued last Saturday (26th February), Bush was unfairly criticised for his open and straightforward foreign policy. Under Bush and Blair the West wouldn’t be scrambling around watching at the sidelines. We are rightly on the side of freedom and we should support freedom within these oppressive regimes. The issue for the West is whether they have the confidence to back these beloved values and support the people of Libya? Or do we preach the sidelines and hope that it goes our way?

So where does this leave David Cameron? I think it is certainly fair to say that his foreign policy is a work in progress. He was elected on domestic issues and this has lead to a worrying lack of vision and clarity. Britain’s foreign policy started off under the coalition as looking like a business plan. The events in the Middle East have meant that they have had to become more idealistic. Cameron has certainly liked being seen as standing up to a dictator, after all it is a political win/win! The problem he has now though is that as his taste for the military has grown, his defence cuts have meant that the military capacity available to him has been dramatically reduced. Take for example the ‘no fly zone’ that Cameron proposed. This is a laudable goal. It would certainly help the freedom fighters in Libya. The problem for the PM is that the UK could not enforce this policy, as we do not have at sea deployment since the Ark Royal was decommissioned. During the defence review the PM argued that it was hard to see the need for this ability within the next decade. Just months later and this prediction has been proven wholly wrong. Maybe its time that the UK either accepts its reduced role and acts accordingly or it invests properly in its armed forces because the situation we have at the moment is slightly embarrassing. For such a smooth political performer its time Cameron realises the role he wants to play on the world stage and once he has done that he can learn his lines and get the right props.

February 24, 2011
Welcome to the jungle

Just thought I’d use my first post to say hello and to briefly explain what my intentions are for my blog. The blog will cover a wide variety of topics that interest me but the main focus will be politics. I will concentrate on British and American politics as these are the areas that I have studied and am most interested. I am right of centre in my political opinions and feel it is important that there is a more diverse set of opinions in the blogshpere which has seen an ever decreasing quantity of right wing bloggers. I am certainly not arrogant enough to believe that I could help redress this problem but I do hope that I can help in a very small and modest way. I am intending to make two separate posts a day concerning both American and British politics. Along the way there will be things that I will want to discuss that will be outside these two topics and I hope you do not mind if I sometimes go off on a tangent.

I am sure that some of you will vehemently disagree with the posts that will appear on this blog and I very much look forward to engaging in debate with you all.

jd

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